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2023 college football picks, Week 5 predictions: Utah vs. Oregon State

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Friday. Night. Lights.

This week in Friday college football action, the Utah Utes combat the Oregon State Beavers in late-week Pac-12 motion. 

This is, low-key, a monstrous game. 

It’s a top-20 matchup that includes a top-10 workforce (Utah) on the road against a team that rarely loses at house (the Beavers have won 14 in their closing 15 in Corvallis). 

However, as a playing man, I’m unsure which group will win this game outright. 

But I’m fairly certain this shall be a low-scoring sport. 

Utah vs. Oregon State prediction

(9 p.m. ET., Fox Sports)

All 4 of Utah’s video games have stayed Under this season, primarily as a result of a dominant protection and a backup quarterback. 

Cam Rising should return eventually, but who is aware of when. 

And why push it? The Utes are 4-0 by means of running the ball and taking part in shutdown protection. 

Even if Rising performs this Friday, the Utes most probably gained’t push it or try to overhaul the offense – once more, Utah is 4-0 for a reason why. I’d expect Utah to continue pounding the rock in the back of the three-headed “monster” of Jaylon Glover, Nate Johnson and Ja’Quinden Jackson. 

I’d expect the similar from Oregon State. The Beavers can move the football, nevertheless it’s all at the flooring. 

DJ Uiagelelei is a long way from mounted. After two nice games towards San Jose State and UC Davis, he’s regressed against San Diego State and Washington State. He finished lower than 50% of his passes across the two video games, with a Passing Success Rate of around 40%. 

Behind Damien Martinez, Deshaun Fenwick and an experienced offensive line, the Beavers are averaging over 225 speeding yards per recreation at over six yards consistent with lift. But they’re a one-dimensional assault operating into a dominant entrance seven. 

The Utes have the most efficient front seven within the Pac-12. Nine starters returned from final yr’s defense. Defensive finish Jonah Elliss and linebacker Karene Reid are having big years already, at least by Pro Football Focus’s metrics. 

The Utes rank top-15 nationally in points in step with game allowed (9.6), EPA in keeping with Rush allowed, and Rush Success Rate allowed. They’ve played ULCA, Baylor and Florida, so their numbers have come in opposition to authentic Power Five competition. 

Betting on College Football?

Ultimately, Utah’s defense must close down Oregon State’s one-dimensional assault – particularly at the back of a pristine gameplan from Kyle Whittingham – and Utah’s offense won’t push the ball downfield, Rising or no emerging. 

Add in a rainy weather report, and we must be expecting an ugly, rush-heavy game script that drains the clock and ends up in a low-scoring contest. 

Utah vs. Oregon State pick

Under 44.5 (-110, BetMGM)

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Sebrina Pilcher

Update: 2024-05-28